Compound Coastal Flood Risk to Drive Migration Away from CoastsWriting in Yale Climate Connections, Jeff Masters reviews recent research on the causes of coastal flooding, including more severe storm surges, intense precipitation, and sea level rise and concludes that events where all three of these conditions occur at the same time (i.e., compound flooding) will increase in decades ahead and drive a mass migration away from the coasts. After describing projected increases in sea level, Masters notes: If we now add in the massive additional increase in flood risk resulting from compound flooding, good luck trying to insure your home. The huge increase in climate change-induced flood risk from sea level rise, heavier rainfall, and stronger/slower-moving hurricanes is nearly certain to force abandonment of portions of the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts by late this century, even under a moderate global warming scenario. … The only recourse we will have is to spend vast amounts of money to defend the most important places and retreat from or abandon the rest. A society-shaking mass migration of millions of Americans away from the coast is inevitable in future decades because of increased climate change-induced flood risk. The trigger for the beginning of this exodus may be only a few years away.
This article in The Washington Post provides supporting information focusing on increased rainfall in the U.S. from increased moisture in the air due to warming oceans and El Niño: …since June, this extra moisture, transported by winds, has spilled into the contiguous United States, helping to fuel record-breaking rainfall in parts of 44 out of 48 states, covering about 90,000 square miles. Supreme Court Ruling to Set Precedent for Climate Damage CasesSuncor v. Boulder, set to be heard by the Supreme Court this fall, may set a precedent for a number of other cases in which state or local governments seek damages from oil companies for the impacts of a changing climate. Time has the details. A win for the plaintiffs could pave the way for local authorities to seek compensation from the biggest emitters. “If the plaintiffs win on the issue that it's within the power of state courts to issue money damages against the fossil fuel companies over climate change, then these two two dozen other cases that are pending will move forward, and it may be that other similar cases might be filed around the country…”. Trump Administration Defends Biden Flood Insurance Rate PolicyThe Department of Justice is opposing a legal challenge from ten Republican attorneys general to Risk Rating 2.0, the revised National Flood Insurance Program rate structure developed under Biden and supported by many in the environmental community as a way to reduce development in flood-risk areas, E&E News reports. Chad Berginnis, executive director of the Association of State Floodplain Managers, is quoted: “The president has continued to basically emphasize that the costs to the federal government are too much,” Berginnis said. “It seems to be quite consistent with the president’s stated vision of things.” GAO Finds FEMA Staff Cuts Harm Disaster ResponseThe Government Accountability Office (GAO) has issued a report finding that over
4,300 employees separated from FEMA in fiscal year 2025—a 55 percent increase
in separations from fiscal year 2024 and that these separations have resulted
in a loss of institutional knowledge and experienced personnel and have
exacerbated longstanding workforce challenges. GAO found that FEMA did not base its 2025 and 2026 workforce reduction decisions, proposed future workforce actions, or workforce policy changes on the results of a workforce analysis—an assessment of the current state of the workforce and a forecast of future organizational requirements. FEMA took these actions without assessing whether it had the necessary staffing capacity to meet its mission, including its statutory requirements. Without workforce planning, FEMA is not positioned to determine whether it has the right number of people with the right skills in the right positions at the right time to meet its mission. This article in Government Executive provides background information. Gallup/Walton Poll Finds Growing Concern for Disaster ImpactsThis new poll from Gallup and the Walton Family Foundation reports nearly four in 10 Americans say their community has felt damage from disaster firsthand in the past year, an increase from prior years. Almost six in 10 U.S. adults whose communities suffered extreme weather damage in the past year are worried it will happen again in the next year. This Grist article provides more information. Bipartisan Bill to De-politicize Disaster Aid DebatedThis article in Energy and Environment News describes a bipartisan bill (Stopping
Political Discrimination in Disaster Assistance Act, S. 373) aimed at assuring that disaster aid decisions are free of political bias. Sponsors hope to add the bill to the National Defense Authorization Act to avoid a Presidential veto. “This is one that sits ready to go, and I don’t think it has a lot of realistic opposition regardless,” said Rep. Scott Perry (R-Pa.), sponsor of the House companion, H.R. 1342. “I could see this as being one of the things that would be a win for everybody, and something that everybody could claim a victory on,” said Perry, who chairs the House Transportation and Infrastructure subcommittee with jurisdiction over disaster response and is one of Congress’ staunchest conservatives. House Race Connected to Coastal PolicyIn Virginia’s second congressional district, Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans is fighting to hold her seat against former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria in a district that includes Virginia Beach and Hampton Roads, and abuts Norfolk. Inside Climate News reports that issues related to climate change, including wind power and coastal flooding are part of the debate in the race. Jay Ford, the Chesapeake Bay Foundation’s Virginia policy manager, said: “What we hear from partners, from local government to state agencies to other NGOs to just the average citizens, is we have to do something about this flooding,” Ford said. “The state has committed significant resources, but we are absolutely looking to the federal government and whoever the next member of Congress is to be a national leader on this.”
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